Distribution forecasting of habitat of chub mackerel (<i>Scomber japonicus</i>) during  the climate change in the coastal waters

CHEN Shuang; GUO Ai; CHEN Xinjun

doi:10.11964/jfc.20170510832

Volume 43 Issue 3

Apr. 2019

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Journal of fisheries of china > 2019 > 43(3): 593-604. > DOI: 10.11964/jfc.20170510832

CHEN Shuang, GUO Ai, CHEN Xinjun. Distribution forecasting of habitat of chub mackerel (Scomber japonicus) during the climate change in the coastal waters[J]. Journal of fisheries of china, 2019, 43(3): 593-604. DOI: 10.11964/jfc.20170510832

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Distribution forecasting of habitat of chub mackerel (Scomber japonicus) during the climate change in the coastal waters

CHEN Shuang¹,
GUO Ai^1,2,
CHEN Xinjun^{1,2,3,4,5, ,}

1.
College of Marine Sciences, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, China
2.
Marine Fisheries Research of Zhejiang, Zhoushan 316021, China
3.
Key Laboratory of Oceanic Fisheries Exploration, Ministry of Agriculture, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, China
4.
National Engineering Research Center for Oceanic Fisheries, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, China
5.
Key Laboratory of Sustainable Exploitation of Oceanic Fisheries Resources, Ministry of Education, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, China

Funds: Public Science and Technology Research Funds Project of Ocean (20155014); Science and Technology Innovation Program of Shanghai (15DZ1202200); HY-2 Satellite Ground Application System Project (HY2A-HT-YWY-006)

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Corresponding author:
CHEN Xinjun. E-mail: xjchen@shou.edu.cn
Received Date: May 05, 2017
Revised Date: June 27, 2017
Available Online: October 31, 2018
Published Date: February 28, 2019

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Abstract

Abstract

The change of surface water temperature affects the habitat distribution of pelagic fishes. According to the chub mackerel (Scomber japonicus) fishery-dependent data from July to December during 2003 to 2012 in the Chinese coastal waters, and sea surface water temperature (SST) from remote sensing, the suitable index (SI) from the fishing effort and the catch per unit effort (CPUE) based on SST were established by using the method of normal distribution. The halntat suitability index (HSI) were estimated by taking the average. The latitude distribution and area change of the most suitable habitat (HSI>0.8) was analysed when the monthly SST increased and declined respectively by 0.5 °C, 1 °C and 2 °C. Results showed that the coastal chub mackerel had an obvious southward shifting tendency when the SST increased, and the most suitable habitat area changed from –73.1% to 44.7% during July to December. There was also an obvious northward shifting tendency when the SST dropped and the most suitable habitat area changed from –54.9% to 123.4% during July to December. The area also had different developing trends. The research suggests that the findings of this article can be used to predict the coastal chub mackerel habitat and its fishing ground under El Nino or La Nina, as well as changes in offshore water in the future.
- Scomber japonicus,
- habitat,
- SST changes,
- fishing effort,
- climate change

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Distribution forecasting of habitat of chub mackerel (Scomber japonicus) during the climate change in the coastal waters

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